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Ten Predictions for 2009:

  1. Android takes off. Platforms flourish with videophones, sensor packages, Mobile WiMAX, and 700 MHz options.
  2. Verizon backpedals with limited LiMO and LTE support. AT&T sticks with HSPA+. Both do deals with Cable’s SpectrumCo for AWS spectrum.
  3. Clearwire and Microsoft announce wireless IPTV in 2010 using 802.16m. Free with ads.
  4. Jobs leaves Apple. Announces new media partnership.
  5. Smartphones provide strong competition to XO. Smartphone increase market share while cellular revenues decrease (for vitually the first time).
  6. Revenue from “4G” spectrum auctions in the Europe and Middle East fall short of hopes. Serious LTE rollouts delayed a year, world-wide.
  7. Satphone mergers. 1. LEO Constellations of Irridium and Globalstar, 2. GEO platforms in the MSS band (2.1 GHz); ICO and TerreStar, merge. GEO platforms in the L-Band (1.6 GHz); Mobile Satellite Ventures (now SkyTerra) and Inmarsat, merge. Microsoft and Russian Mafia invest in John Malone’s O3b big LEO tax shelter.
  8. Google launches massive social networking/gaming network.
  9. South Korea announces robot companion initiative. Terrorists hijack the network.
  10. NAO developers abandon ship for the Android store. Smart Mobs become quasi governments, take over.

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