One Billion Mobile Computers by 2014

Posted by Sam Churchill on

Global smartphones sales will cross the billion-unit mark in 2014, helped by strong demand from China and the launch of cheaper low-end handsets, according to a Credit Suisse estimate.

Gartner estimated that globally, 472 million smartphones were sold in 2011, accounting for 31% of all mobile devices sold for the year. That’s a 58% rise over 2010.

By 2014, the market for cloud-based mobile apps is expected to increase by 90% compared to 2009 By 2016, analysts predict there will be 10 billion connected mobile devices in use globally, and smartphone traffic will be 50 times what it is today.

Exploding sales of smartphones is growing new mobile app software opportunities, says Global Industry Analysts. About 70% of mobile users are expected to use mobile Internet services on a daily basis, with strong growth expected from the BRIC countries, comprising Brazil, India, China and Russia. There exists vast potential for growth in these regions, given the fact that despite the lower mobile penetration rate, the proportion of mobile internet users as a percentage of mobile subscribers is considerably higher.

Mobile apps and the cloud are going all the way to the altar together, says Mashable. They’ve been in a relationship for several years and are now inseparable.

Those billion smartphones sold in 2014 may be utilizing 14 nm quadcore processors, putting more power in the hand than today’s desktops or laptops.

Intel’s Ivy Bridge processors were the first high volume 22nm chips. Intel plans 14nm Atom chips as soon as 2013, with a transition to the 10nm process by 2015.

This revolution will be fueled by 300 Mbps LTE connections, with perhaps 20-24 Mbps of usable speed. TD-LTE connections in the US, India, China, Japan and South Korea may make asymmetrical time division links the most cost/effective, since half the spectrum isn’t wasted. By 2014, voice minutes may become largely irrelevant.

Unfortunately, 4G is a long way from being universally available or affordable.

Mobile data traffic is going to start leveling off, with 2015 being the last year that volume will grow by more than 50 percent annually, according to a new report from ABI Research.

Posted by Sam Churchill on Thursday, July 26th, 2012 at 9:25 am .

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